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Sunday, May 21, 2023

Term Spread Predicts Recession; Confidence in Childhood Vaccines Plunges

There were 3 reports and a balance sheet this week: Industrial Production (INDPRO): +0.48% m/m, +0.24% y/y.  Short term: recovery. Retail Sales (RSAFS): +0.42% m/m, +1.57% y/y.  Short term: recovery. Housing Starts (HOUST): +2.14% m/m, -29% y/y.  Single Family house construction has been crushed (HOUST1F), down 39% y/y, while Multifamily 5+ (HOUST5F) fell just 13%.  […]

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