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Sunday, April 30, 2023

recession probably here; fed meeting next week

There were a bunch of reports this week: Q1 2023 GDP: 0.26% q/q, expected 2.0%, +1.25% y/y.  Recessionary.  Allegedly adjusted for inflation. Durable Goods: New orders: +3.2% m/m, expected 0.9%, previous -1.2%.  Expansionary. Dallas Fed Mfg: Actual: -23.4, expected -11.5, prior -15.7.  Recessionary. New Home Sales: Actual: 683k, expected 634k, prior 640k. Consumer Sentiment: Actual: […]

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