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Friday, October 25, 2019

Life Under MMT: A Self-Reinforcing, Inflationary Feedback Loop

Executive Summary

  • The siren song of "free money" programs like MMT and UBI
  • Why these are financial "roach traps"
  • The inevitable inflationary end of our current trajectory
  • What to invest in to protect your wealth
If you have not yet read Part 1: Could Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Actually Save Us?, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
MMT is a financial Roach Trap — it’s impossible to back out of MMT once it’s launched. The demands for more spending will skyrocket, and there will be no politically viable way to say “no” to additional spending. The initial surge of spending will likely be highly successful: as trillions of dollars gush into the economy, spending and tax revenues will leap and the illusion of sustainability will be anchored in the public’s mind and in the media: look, MMT is working just like we said it would! Inflation is still tame. Yes, inflation will be tame for a brief honeymoon, as inventories can be drained without raising prices. But once the higher demand races through the supply chain, prices will rise in correlation to scarcity, competing demands, etc. One can easily imagine the land rush of special interests and constituencies to demand a new piece of the “free money” pie in this honeymoon phase: “free” medications (at full Big Pharma prices, of course); “free” university (at full tuition, of course); “free” childcare; “free” Social Security increases, and so on in a tsunami of demands. Once inflation starts rising, the current rigged methodology of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will mask it for a time, just as it does now. But eventually, reality will break through the artifice and
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