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Friday, September 27, 2019

Celente – Where The Decline In Gold Will Stop, Plus How To Prepare For What Is Coming

Today Gerald Celente spoke with King World News about how people can prepare for what is coming. He has also been remarkably accurate predicting the movements in the price of gold for many years, stating years ago that the $1,450 breakout would signify a new bull market phase for gold as well as repeatedly and accurately calling bottoms the gold market. Today he also discussed exactly where he see the downside on this pullback in the gold market.

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Gerald Celente: Broadcast Interview – Available Now

Gerald Celente: Founder & Director of the Trends Research Institute - Gerald has had a long track record of making some of the most controversial, yet correct calls in terms of global trends and events. In fact, many consider Mr. Celente to be the top trends forecaster in the world…

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Gerald Celente

Gerald Celente: Founder & Director of the Trends Research Institute - Gerald has had a long track record of making some of the most controversial, yet correct calls in terms of global trends and events. In fact, many consider Mr. Celente to be the top trends forecaster in the world…

The post Gerald Celente appeared first on King World News.



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Resuming The Crash Position

Executive Summary

  • My recent portfolio changes & the rationale behind each
  • 6 strategies for positioning your portfolio for the next market downturn
  • Deciding which strategies are most appropriate for you
If you have not yet read Part 1: Realistically, What's Left To Power Asset Prices Higher?, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
This is an update to the premium report Assume The Crash Position issued in March of this year. It details the changes I'm now making in my portfolio, which  build off of the logic used in the two earlier short positions I notified Peak Prosperity insiders about. The first was back in fall of 2018, which yielded a 50%+ return when the market fell between October and September. The second yielded similar 50%+ gains when stocks fell in May of this year. But before continuing further, let me make a few things absolutely clear. This is NOT personal financial advice. This material is for educational purposes only, and as an aid for you to discuss these options more intelligently with your professional financial adviser(s) before taking any action. (If you do not have a financial advisor or do not feel comfortable with your current adviser's expertise with the investment vehicles discussed in this Part 2, then consider scheduling a free portfolio review/consultation with our endorsed advisor) Suffice it to say, everything discussed in this report should be reviewed with your financial adviser before taking any action. Am I being excessively repetitive here in order to drive this point home? Good... Ok, with that said, here are the specific new positions I have taken in my portfolio... (Enroll now to continue reading)  
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Realistically, What’s Left To Power Asset Prices Higher?

Here we are again. The markets are within a few percentage points of their all-time highs, but just can’t seem to muster the momentum to break out above them.

We saw similar conditions back in March/April and then again in July. Both times, the S&P dropped sharply after failing to remain above 3,000.

Both situations presented profitable opportunities to short stocks, which we alerted our readers to at the time.

Widening out our perspective even farther, it’s becoming increasingly clear that the motive power pushing the markets higher over the past decade has lost its drive. Today, the S&P is nearly same price it was a year ago. And very close to where it was at the start of 2018.

In short, it hasn’t really gone anywhere for over 20 months:

S&P price chart 2009-2019

source: Yahoo! Finance

And in those 20 months, the S&P has been forming a tightening wedge, with little room left in it for the status quo to continue. A break above or below must happen soon:

S&P chart 2015-2019

source: Yahoo! Finance

So which way will it break?

The Bull Case

To make the bull case, we have to ask: With stocks near their all-time highs, what’s not yet priced in to the market that can catapult prices higher from here?

Don’t look to earnings. With slowing global GDP, it’s little surprise that the upcoming Q3 2019 earnings season is expected to be a dud.

Total Q3 earnings are forecasted to be down -4.8% vs the same period last year. Zacks predicts that 12 of the 16 industry sectors it tracks will report negative earnings growth.

At this point, there are only two possible developments not yet fully priced in to today’s “priced-to-perfection” markets that could justify stocks vaulting higher from here. A happy-smiles-all-around trade agreement with China and massive new QE (aka, an injection of $trillions of newly-created money).

How likely is a successful resolution to the current trade war, one that will please all sides? Hey, anything’s possible; but a lot of ink has been spilled over the past year explaining why the Chinese are not going to roll over lightly. And with the next US presidential election now just a year away, time puts increasing pressure on the Trump administration to blink first.

[Update: about 20 minutes after writing the above paragraph, markets dived deeply into the red in response to a new threat from the administration to de-list Chinese companies from US stock exchanges. This is not a sign that a happy agreement is anywhere close.]

As for new QE, indeed it looks like the stage is being prepared for a return to net easing by the world’s central banks. Could that boost asset prices higher? Sure.

Would that be a “good” thing? Highly debatable. We are so deep into what used to be considered “emergency measures” to prop up the global economy that to any sane person, more QE should be looked at as a blatant admission that central planning has failed and that the world’s fiat currencies are in the process of being destroyed.

The Bear Case

Bears need to ask the opposite: What’s not yet priced in that could topple asset prices from their current highs?

Being frank, it’s a lot easier to answer this question.

For starters, the macro outlook is grim and looking worse every week. As we’ve been tracking all year, the signs of an unfolding global recession are all around us. While the US is still seeing positive GDP growth, the weak earnings expectations cited above indicate that companies are beginning to feel the bite of the slowdown.

Sentiment is souring. A majority of both CFOs and the general public expect a recession within the next year. Major market trend reversals require a change in investor sentiment. After a decade of “everything is awesome!”, concern is starting to trump euphoria.

The darlings are falling out of favor. The FAANGs stocks have been responsible much of the appreciation of the major stock indices for years. Because of this, they are among the top holdings of a huge percentage of ETFs and mutual funds. Now that these once-bulletproof companies are issuing lackluster earnings (and revenues!), being fined for privacy abuses, coming under anti-trust scrutiny, and being chided and mocked by their own employees, their stocks are starting to look vulnerable. If investors refuse to continue accepting the sky-high valuation multiples these companies currently demand, the carnage will ripple across the markets. And the numerous Tech IPO disasters this year (Uber, Lyft, We Work, Fiverr, Slack, Pinterest, Chewy, Peloton) are only adding fuel to the fire.

The game has changed for oil. The recent drone strike on the world’s largest oil processing facility showed that the global oil supply chain is much more vulnerable than previously appreciated. The cost of defense is now hugely asymmetrical. Billions of dollars of supply can be disrupted with drone swarm technology that costs only thousands. So far, the world has shrugged of the implications of the attack, but as they become fully appreciated, a material “vulnerability premium” is going to be added atop the price of oil, making the cost of everything more expensive adding a drag to global trade.

Impeachment? This week the circus in Washington ramped into high gear with House Democrats initiating impeachment proceedings against the President. Regardless of their odds for success, this is a destabilizing event for markets (and the country). One that will become much more so should they actually succeed.

The technicals are blinking “danger”. The chart below shows an increasingly clear “head and shoulders” topping formation for the S&P 500 with numerous unfilled gaps below. Given this, it would not be surprising in the least to see 100 points quickly vaporize:

S&P rolloever chart

Source: Northman Trader

Adding A New (Larger) Short Position

Personally, I find the logic underlying the bear case much more compelling.

Which is why I’ve moved a percentage of my “dry powder” cash savings into a new short position at this time, substantially larger than the one I placed back in March.

It’s not a move I take lightly (and as usual, this is NOT personal financial advice). I’m only doing it because, in my estimation, the preponderance of evidence for a near-term reversal is overwhelming my strong default risk-averse preference to sit on the sidelines.

In Part 2: Resuming The Crash Position I detail out the specifics of the new short position I’ve taken; which securities and why. I then revisit the wide range of options that investors skeptical of current market valuations can consider — for both protecting against a downturn and, for the more courageous, profiting from one.

We should know soon which way this market breaks. If it indeed breaks downward, make sure you’ve prepared in advance for it.

Click here to read Part 2 of this report (free executive summary, enrollment required for full access).

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ALERT: Bullion Banks And Commercials All-Time Record Short The Gold Market!

Bullion banks and commercial traders are now all-time record short the gold market!

The post ALERT: Bullion Banks And Commercials All-Time Record Short The Gold Market! appeared first on King World News.



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Alasdair Macleod – Step Back, Look At The Big Picture And Remain Patient In Gold & Silver Bull Market

Today Alasdair Macleod urged investors to take a step back, look at the big picture and remain patient during this consolidation in the gold and silver bull market.

The post Alasdair Macleod – Step Back, Look At The Big Picture And Remain Patient In Gold & Silver Bull Market appeared first on King World News.



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Kevin Price – Making “New Rich” Books Work for You

from Financial Survival Network

Kevin Price says, “So you have read Four Hour Work Week, The E Myth Revisited, and Rich Dad Poor Dad, but have little to show for it but a good read. Kevin Price, host of the nationally syndicated Price of Business radio show, explains why this happens and what one can do about it in his compelling book, Making New Rich Books work for You. It is based entirely on his own struggles.” Robert Kiyosaki author of the mega bestselling “Rich Dad Poor Dad” and frequent guest on the Price of Business says the following about Price’s show “The world is changing too fast to be listening to people who have no idea what they’re talking about, so listen to Kevin Price. He’s into real financial education.” Price argues the problem is not with the books people read, but the mindset of the reader. The way the reader thinks and even feels about money is often sabotaging them before taking any action.

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

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Michael Pento – Fear the Repo Man

from Financial Survival Network

Since debt was created, the Repo Man was there to handle defaulting debtors. There’s a new Repo Man in town and that’s the Federal Reserve. They are there to turn bank’s paper into cash and bank’s cash into paper. Since 1917, it all worked very well except for a few noteworthy events, like 9/11 and 2008, when the markets seized up. Now it’s happening again. Why is there no liquidity? Where did all the buyers go? Michael Pento understands where the economy is headed, but he believes you should be earning an attractive return until the last domino falls. And what’s wrong with that?

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

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Fun on Friday: Busted!

Did you hear about the Venezuelan nationals who got busted trying to smuggle $5 million worth of gold bars into the US through a Fort Lauderdale airport? True story. The duo had 230 pounds of gold stuffed into the nose of a private Cessna jet. Customs officials discovered a hidden compartment when they noticed some […]

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Daily Digest 9/27 – Good News Friday: Turning Billboards Into Honeybee Hotels, ‘Real Hope’ For Meaningful Climate Action

This is Good News Friday, where we find some good economic, energy, and environmental news and share it with PP readers. Please send any positive news to dd@peakprosperity.com with subject header "Good News Friday." We will save and post weekly. Enjoy!

Economy

Psychedelic drug therapy enters new era with Johns Hopkins center (Sparky1)

“It’s incredibly exciting as the largest single donation or investment into psychedelic research,” said Brad Burge, director of strategic communications for the San Francisco-based non-profit Multidisciplinary Association for Psychedelic Studies.

“This donation shows that there will be enough regulation and public support that will create jobs in research and therapy. This research has moved out of the fringe.”

Stars, Global Citizen founder outline massive 2020 concert (Sparky1)

The festival calls on government and businesses to fight infectious diseases, empower women and girls, combat plastic pollution and provide quality education. MSNBC will simulcast the festival, and iHeartMedia will broadcast the festival on radio.

CEO surprises employees with pay increase to $70,000 (Thomas R.)

“I’m actually taking my salary down to the minimum salary until our profit does go back up to where it was before we made this policy change,” said Price at the time of the announcement in Seattle.

He describes the company as a champion of “the little guy and gal in pursuit of the American Dream.”

GM tells striking union members it will continue their health coverage (Thomas R.)

“They think they’re going to force you into submission. Imagine a company where the CEO gets $22 million and then they cut the health care benefits of their workers,” the senator from Vermont said.

A source with knowledge of the talks charged that GM didn’t mind using the issue as leverage but chose to reinstate health care because its image has been tarnished.

This chainless bike’s a gear closer to revolutionizing the cycling world (Thomas R.)

No chain – check. Shifting gears – check. Speed – check.

Despite Living in the Digital Age, Kids Are Still Playing With Their Parents’ Favorite Childhood Toys (Thomas R.)

When it comes to buying any toy for a child, parents are on the look out for a certain set of qualities. Three in five parents want a toy that’s educational, but just behind that is a toy’s ability to make their kid laugh (60%). Fifty-nine percent are on the hunt for a toy that’s colorful, while 56% look for something interactive.

Teacher Carries Student With Spina Bifida On His Back So She Won’t Miss Out on Class Field Trip (Thomas R.)

Since the 10-year-old youngster was born with spina bifida, she has relied on a wheelchair her entire life. This is not the first time that Ryan’s disability has prevented her from attending field trips in the past, so her mother Shelly King began “preparing for an ‘alternate field trip day.’”

This Startup’s Electric Van Is A Packaging Triumph (Thomas R.)

Though it’s not autonomous, though the company says they’re working on that, the room-on-wheels design is exactly what future autonomous vehicles should be (there may be a book out that says just that) and even in its current, human-driven form, the design looks incredibly flexible and usable.

McDonalds is Turning Dozens of Roadside Billboards into ‘Honeybee Hotels’ in Sweden (Thomas R.)

This is not the first time that McDonalds has used tiny structures to help struggling pollinators. In addition to several of the Swedish branches building beehives on the rooftops of their restaurants, the company auctioned off a fully-functioning beehive that was built inside of “the world’s smallest McDonalds” back in May.

It’s taken years, but at last there’s real hope for meaningful climate action (RS)

So how will our bill help this? First, we need to fundamentally change the way our economy is managed, so that democratically elected governments – not the whims of the market – set our future direction. Freed from false economic constraints that benefit only the wealthy, public investment can go directly into productive activity that will, in turn, generate tax revenue. Our pensions and savings can also be redirected into new green bonds, generating a safe return and the investment needed.

New California lab seeks cure to deadly citrus disease (Sparky1)

The disease — which causes yellow spotting and veins and misshapen and bitter fruit — has dealt a heavy blow to the citrus industry in many countries, but it has had a lesser impact in California. About 1,600 trees have been infected in Southern California backyards, but commercial orchards further north have so far been spared.

Gold & Silver

Click to read the PM Daily Market Commentary: 9/26/19

Provided daily by the Peak Prosperity Gold & Silver Group

Article suggestions for the Daily Digest can be sent to dd@peakprosperity.com. All suggestions are filtered by the Daily Digest team and preference is given to those that are in alignment with the message of the Crash Course and the "3 Es."

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Is the Glass Half-Empty or Half-Full? SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Sept. 27, 2019

Gold and silver are down this week. There was some more hopeful trade war news and stronger than expected economic data that drove markets this week. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey covers it, plus some news that’s being mostly ignored. And he ponders a question: should we be […]

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Thursday, September 26, 2019

This Is A Big Warning Signal

This is a big signal as we come to the end of September.

The post This Is A Big Warning Signal appeared first on King World News.



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Cashin – On This Day…

Today Art Cashin covers everything from Rome to China, Trump and overseas trading.

The post Cashin – On This Day… appeared first on King World News.



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Greg Crowe | Aiming to Bring Nevada’s Highest-Grade Silver Mine Back Into Production

from Mining Stock Education

Silver One Resource’s Candelaria project was historically Nevada’s highest-grade silver mine. President and CEO Greg Crowe and his team are currently advancing the project with the hopes of bringing it back into production as there is already a massive 127-million-ounce historic silver resource on the property. Silver One has also recently staked the highly-prospective Cherokee silver project in Nevada. This project has already demonstrated up to 1,800 grams per ton silver grab samples and the company plans to begin drilling it in 2020.

Greg Crowe has over 30 years’ experience in the exploration and mining sector. This includes extensive exposure to precious and base metal projects throughout North and South America, Asia and Africa. Greg has worked with major mining companies and has served as a director and executive of several junior and development stage resource companies.

Click Here to Listen to the Audio

Continue Reading at MiningStockEducation.com…


0:05 Introduction
1:41 Nevada is the silver state
3:05 Candelaria project was Nevada’s highest-grade silver mine
4:28 Candelaria’s historical resource and exploration upside
5:23 Bringing Candelaria back into production
5:55 Eric Sprott’s recent investment in Silver One
6:39 Cherokee project: 1,800 g/t silver grab samples
8:30 Treasury and burn rate

TRANSCRIPT:

Bill Powers: For about three years you’ve been the CEO of Silver One Resources. You’re focused in Nevada. I didn’t really pay attention to this until you alerted me to the fact that Nevada is not the Gold State, it’s actually the Silver State. Talk to us a little about how Nevada is a good silver mining state.

Greg Crowe: Well, essentially, it’s a silver mining state because California stole the name, “The Gold State.” But I must admit that in the early days, back in the mid-1800s, silver was the dominant mineral which was being mined in Nevada. And one of the reasons that Nevada entered the State of the Union was because silver was used to pay down the Civil War debt. And it became known as the Silver State, lots of silver production, big mines like Comstock. The one that we are about to finish acquiring, called Candelaria, which was the richest producing silver mine in Nevada. That changed in the 1980s actually, which was interesting, with the discovery of gold and Barrick’s big discovery up in Northern Nevada. And since then everybody’s been looking for gold, gold, gold.

But we like silver. And we took that to our advantage. And we found a very good prospect, in addition to our Candelaria project, that we actually staked. And I can tell you a bit about that down the road too.

Bill Powers: Give us an overview of the Candelaria project and what is the upside here for investors?

Greg Crowe: Yeah, Candelaria is an interesting project. As I said, the richest producer from the mid-1800s up until mid-1900s. And produced, on average 1,250 grams per ton silver, from near surface high-grade veins. Then essentially it turned into an open-pit situation. Mined up until 1997-1998. Last producer was Kinross. And the reason they shut the mine down was not because they exhausted the mine or the heaps. They only shut down because of the collapse of silver prices.

Silver prices touched I think $2.50 per ounce, and stayed under $5 per ounce until 2003 and thereafter. So in the meantime they shuttered the mine. Started reclamation and sold it off to Silver Standard in 2001. Silver Standard did a big drill program, outlined a very sizeable resource, and moved forward with the idea of bringing it back in production. They couldn’t think about it in the $3 to $4 per ounce silver range, so they put it on the shelf. We came along in 2016 and structured a deal with Silver Standard (now SSR Mining) to purchase a 100% interest with no royalties.

Bill Powers: So there’s a large historical resource there. What exactly is that historical resource, and also talk to us about the exploration upside at this project.

Greg Crowe: The historical resource, which we’re aiming to drill and become current, is measured and indicated resources of about 46 million ounces of silver, and additional inferred resources of about 83 million ounces of silver. In the inferred category, of that 83 million ounces, 48 million ounces still sits on the old leach pads. And we’ve done some good metallurgical testing, we’re continuing with that metallurgical testing with the thoughts that, can we bring those heaps back into production? Our metallurgical testing will take another few months, but everything is looking very, very optimistic, particularly in this current up-ticking silver market.

Bill Powers: So you’d be looking at potentially a lower capex cause there is a resource right there at surface. Best case scenario, when could that possibly come into production?

Greg Crowe: Best case scenario, it would be two years and it all depends on what are the results of this metallurgical testing, which are going to take another few months, and then the permitting process. But one of the good things is because it was a disturbed site, and not completely 100% reclaimed, then it would, with a solid plan, of course, be much easier to facilitate permitting.

Bill Powers: And you have some solid financier’s that have backed the project, including most notably recently, Eric Sprott. How did that investment by Eric Sprott come about?

Greg Crowe: Well, in essence, the original investors in the company were affiliated with First Mining Finance, First Majestic Silver and Keith Neumeyer. Eric and Keith work together and Eric became aware of Silver One. Interesting enough, when I met with Eric in Toronto, he showed me that Silver One was actually on his list for acquisition, and we announced a financing in June prior to the uptick in the silver markets. We put it out there that we would do a financing and try to raise about $2 million. Within three weeks, we had $5 million, with Eric Sprott coming in as our largest single shareholder.

Bill Powers: So there’s a lot of fundamental value in the company in the historical resource of silver ounces in the ground. There’s exploration upside at the Candelaria project. And you’re also working at your Cherokee project. Talked to us about the exploration upside at the Cherokee project.

Greg Crowe: Yeah. Cherokee’s interesting. And it goes back to the premise that Nevada’s the Silver State. But most of the exploration has been focused on gold. There has been some silver exploration, but we saw a reference to an old historic mine, that in the 1800s produced in the thousands of grams per ton silver. So we said we better go look at this. And we went and looked at it. And low and behold, beautiful, what are referred to as epithermal style, boiling point textures. Good indications of copper mineralization on surface, affiliated with some very sizable veins. Started walking the veins and we traced them for 12 kilometers, or nine miles, along strike and the ground was completely open.

So we staked the whole thing. And then we bought five of the patents. We now have 100% interest. Started detailed sampling at the north end, where the old Cherokee mine is, we started getting values as high as a thousand grams per ton silver and 4.8% copper. In the south end, where the veins kind of come together, Copper seems to disappear, but we’re starting to see two grams of gold creep in, and we’re still getting strong silver values. This time up to 1,800 grams per ton silver. This is on surface, select grabbed samples. The veins to our knowledge have never had a drill on them.

So our plan is to, we’re out there right now sampling and mapping, finding more and more veins, and then we’re going to be doing a property wide airborne geophysical survey. With that information, we hope to be able to identify drill targets for the new year.

Bill Powers: What does the treasury and the burn rate of the company look like right now?

Greg Crowe: The treasury is about a C$4.2 to $4.5 million, in that range there. We do have these ongoing exploration programs, which will probably amount to about C$2 million in total, but outside those, the average burn rate of the company is about C$1.2 million per year.

Bill Powers: As we conclude, what final thoughts would you like to leave with the investors listening to us?

Greg Crowe: Well, those of you who really do believe, shall we say that we live in a somewhat unstable world, and an uncertainty economically, and you’re a believer in solid assets like gold and silver. Then look at not only gold and silver, but gold and silver companies; especially those that have some something behind them and good financial backers behind them.



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