Can a Systemic Crisis Even Be Avoided at This Point?

Michael Gayed, CFA, outlines the current economic landscape by tying credit cycles and market signals to systemic risks.

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Iran Bombed, What’s Next For The Markets?

Will this be 'the summer of emergence?' If so, pretty much everything will change, perhaps irreparably.

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Propaganda Is Dividing US, and Risking Everything

Beware the propaganda - it's being thickly applied and it's very powerful. But also really obvious to see once you spot it. Still, it's dragging us toward war, one that will not be in America's economic or financial interests.

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Caution Is Advised (as Retail Piles In)

Inflation! Oil! The Fed! Oh my!

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The Signal Hour Today at 1PM ET

Join Chris and Evie for the Signal Hour live at 1pm ET.

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The Fat Pipe June 16th 2025: The Israel-Iran War Heats Up, Magic “”Markets”” and No Kings!!

It's another fat pipe after a massively event-packed weekend...let's dive in...

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Gold, Currency-Confetti, Crude Spike, and Stagflation

We live in interesting times, the "melee" has arrived, and let's all say a silent prayer for the oil shorts who probably are spending their weekend pondering their life choices.

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Will The Sleeper Cells Be Activated This Weekend?

Nationwide No Kings protests on Saturday June 14th, potentially funded by big players, with concerns about violence and possibly even false flag events. Please stay vigilant and safe and, as always, be prepared.

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Israel, The US and Iran: Context, Scenarios, Planning, and How This Could End Very Badly

Israel attacked Iran demonstrating superior targeting and air supremacy. Iran has now lobbed missiles into Tel Aviv. Both sides are probably not done and things could easily escalate from here. If that involves attacks on Iran's oil refineries, or a closure of the Strait of Hormuz, then I will be issuing the mother of all Alerts.

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Weak Employment and Housing, Yet a Massive Stock Market Advance + Volatility Crush. What Gives?

Employment growth is very weak and there are plenty of worrying signs in both these numbers and housing. Yet the past nine-weeks have seen an absolutely monster of a stock market rally accompanied by a record-setting volatility crush (-63%!). Are central banks directly intervening to set market prices?

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The Signal Hour Today at 1PM ET

Join Chris and Evie for the Signal Hour live at 1pm ET.

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Disabilities Surge, Gold Shorts Vanish: Has Recession Arrived?

Soaring disabilities, gold's steady rise, and China's deflation hint at trouble beneath the surface.

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It’s Now a Matter of “When” Not “If”

The behavior of DC politicians is not hard to decipher. With precious few exceptions, they lack the wisdom and/or the knowledge to diagnose the predicaments, and even fewer have the willpower to be honest with the American people. So we're on a collision course with 'going broke.' In my view, this is now unavoidable.

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Finance U: China Has a Winning Hand While US Consumers Are Tapping Out

The China trade wars are anything but over, US consumers are leveraged up, tapped out and rolling over, And Trump is fretting over the huge impact that loss of China's imports represents.

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The Signal Hour Today at 1PM ET

Join Chris and Evie for the Signal Hour live at 1pm ET.

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The Fat Pipe: Ukraine Provoking Nuclear War, You’ve Been Rugged, and Biden’s Constant Lying

It was another huge weekend of news. Here's all the things you were too busy gardening to read, condensed and distilled to its malodorous essence.

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Treasuries, Bitcoin, Gold Signal ‘Risk-On’ Momentum Fading

This week's economic indicators show mixed signals: personal income up, auto sales and durable goods down, GDP growth questioned. Financial markets display cautious optimism with treasury yields falling, equities rallying, and gold hinting at a low.

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